Rancho Santanavs
Managua
COMPLETEDNicaragua · Primera Division · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Managua · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Rancho Santana 0-2 Managua, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rancho Santana 1-6 Managua
Original prediction
Managua
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.85 | 13.3% | 9.0% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.51 | 20.1% | 16.2% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 1.36 | 66.6% | 74.8% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.2 pts
Projected Score
Rancho Santana 0–2 Managua
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Managua
Probability
74.8%
Model confidence
74.8%
Managua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rancho SantanaDDWLL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
ManaguaDWDWW
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Rancho SantanaManagua
25.9Attack100.0
48.1Defence66.7
18.5Form85.2
34.1Power82.6
0.55xG2.44