Rancho Santanavs
Diriangén
COMPLETEDNicaragua · Primera Division · 10/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Diriangén · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (15%), 0-3 (14%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rancho Santana 0-1 Diriangén
Original prediction
Diriangén
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 October 2026 at 14:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.50 | 9.6% | 6.1% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.28 | 17.2% | 13.0% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 1.24 | 73.2% | 80.9% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–215%
- 2.0–314%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Diriangén
Probability
80.9%
Model confidence
80.9%
Diriangén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20