Raith Roversvs
Queen's Park
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raith Rovers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Raith Rovers 1-0 Queen's Park, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Raith Rovers 2-0 Queen's Park
Original prediction
Raith Rovers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 62.6% | 55.8% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 23.0% | 25.5% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 6.31 | 14.4% | 18.7% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Projected Score
Raith Rovers 1–0 Queen's Park
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Raith Rovers
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Raith Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40