Stenhousemuirvs
Dunfermline
LIVEScotland · Championship · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Stenhousemuir 0-0 Dunfermline, with an exact score probability of 36%.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.59 | 25.4% | 34.1% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.3% | 34.8% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 46.4% | 31.1% | -15.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Projected Score
Stenhousemuir 0–0 Dunfermline
Exact score probability: 36%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StenhousemuirLDLWW
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
DunfermlineWDDDL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
StenhousemuirDunfermline
39.4Attack27.3
72.7Defence81.8
69.7Form54.5
62.4Power57.2
0.64xG0.40