Racing Montevideovs
Wanderers
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Racing Montevideo 0-0 Wanderers, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Montevideo 3-0 Wanderers
Original prediction
Racing Montevideo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 12:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.4% | 48.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.0% | 29.1% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.71 | 24.6% | 22.7% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Projected Score
Racing Montevideo 0–0 Wanderers
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Racing Montevideo
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80