Racing MontevideovsClub Nacional

Racing Montevideo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Club Nacional are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the Primera División, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.