Racing Montevideovs
Central Espanol
COMPLETEDUruguay · Copa Uruguay · 9/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Montevideo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Montevideo 2-4 Central Espanol
Original prediction
Racing Montevideo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.6% | 42.6% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.6% | 27.6% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.84 | 18.8% | 29.8% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Racing Montevideo
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40