Racing Montevideovs
Boston River
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Racing Montevideo 1-0 Boston River, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Montevideo 3-2 Boston River
Original prediction
Racing Montevideo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 47.4% | 51.9% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.7% | 29.4% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.83 | 23.9% | 18.6% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Projected Score
Racing Montevideo 1–0 Boston River
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Racing Montevideo
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80