Racing Club Res.vs
Independiente Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/24/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Res. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Club Res. 1-2 Independiente Res.
Original prediction
Independiente Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.2% | 30.6% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.3% | 28.5% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 36.5% | 41.0% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Independiente Res.
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00