Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quilmes 2 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Quilmes 2 1-0 Ferro 2, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Quilmes 2 2-1 Ferro 2
Original prediction
Quilmes 2
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Projected Score
Quilmes 2 1–0 Ferro 2
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Quilmes 2
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Quilmes 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Quilmes 2LLLWD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Ferro 2LLLLL
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Quilmes 2Ferro 2
33.3Attack33.3
76.0Defence50.7
54.7Form34.7
56.2Power41.2
1.10xG0.43