Queen's Parkvs
Dunfermline
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dunfermline · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Queen's Park 0-0 Dunfermline, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Queen's Park 0-1 Dunfermline
Original prediction
Dunfermline
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.40 | 16.8% | 21.4% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.6% | 31.6% | 8.0 pts |
| Away | 1.53 | 59.5% | 47.0% | -12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.6 pts
Projected Score
Queen's Park 0–0 Dunfermline
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Dunfermline
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Dunfermline has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20