Queen of the Southvs
Rangers U21
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 9/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Queen of the South · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Queen of the South 4-2 Rangers U21
Original prediction
Queen of the South
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.4% | 46.4% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.7% | 24.2% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 25.9% | 29.5% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Queen of the South
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Queen of the South has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80