GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Queen of the South · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Queen of the South are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Hibernian U21 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Queen of the South hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Challenge Cup, while Queen of the South holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Queen of the South

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

10.2%

Queen of the South has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Queen of the SouthLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hibernian U21DWDLL

GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Queen of the SouthHibernian U21
66.7Attack55.6
33.3Defence55.6
50.0Form44.4
53.0Power49.8
1.87xG1.66
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