Queen of the Southvs
Annan Athletic
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 9/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Queen of the South · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Queen of the South 1-1 Annan Athletic
Original prediction
Queen of the South
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.5% | 44.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.7% | 25.2% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 30.7% | 30.4% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Queen of the South
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Queen of the South has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60