Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
QPR · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: QPR 1-0 Preston, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
QPR 2-2 Preston
Original prediction
QPR
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 53.9% | 59.6% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 25.0% | 23.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.46 | 21.1% | 16.5% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.76 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Projected Score
QPR 1–0 Preston
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
QPR
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
QPR has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QPRDDLWW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PrestonLLWLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
QPRPreston
38.1Attack28.6
76.2Defence38.1
57.1Form14.3
59.6Power30.5
1.65xG0.55