QPRvs
Middlesbrough
COMPLETEDEngland · Championship · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
QPR · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
QPR 0-1 Middlesbrough
Original prediction
QPR
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.13 | 29.9% | 39.0% | 9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.7% | 27.1% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 43.4% | 33.9% | -9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
QPR
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
QPR has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QPRWWDWD
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MiddlesbroughDWWLW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
QPRMiddlesbrough
55.6Attack66.7
77.8Defence55.6
77.8Form66.7
72.8Power64.7
1.53xG1.17