Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
QPR · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
QPR 2-1 Cardiff
Original prediction
QPR
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 48.8% | 47.9% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 24.8% | 25.7% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 26.4% | 26.4% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
QPR
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
QPR has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QPRWDWDW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CardiffDLDDW
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
QPRCardiff
55.6Attack55.6
77.8Defence44.4
77.8Form33.3
72.8Power48.3
1.74xG1.03