PSV/Eindhoven Wvs
Twente W
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie Women · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Twente W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PSV/Eindhoven W 0-4 Twente W
Original prediction
Twente W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 34.7% | 35.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.1% | 25.1% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.2% | 39.1% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Twente W
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Twente W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00