Romania · Cupa României · 10/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petrolul Ploiesti · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 14.20 | 6.3% | 38.3% | 31.9 pts |
| Draw | 6.86 | 13.1% | 21.1% | 8.0 pts |
| Away | 1.12 | 80.5% | 40.6% | -39.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Petrolul Ploiesti
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Petrolul Ploiesti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Progresul SpartacLWWWW
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Petrolul PloiestiWDLLW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Progresul SpartacPetrolul Ploiesti
80.0Attack50.0
46.7Defence50.0
80.0Form50.0
69.8Power53.0
2.58xG1.57