Uta Aradvs
FC Botosani
COMPLETEDRomania · Cupa României · 10/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uta Arad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uta Arad 2-2 FC Botosani
Original prediction
Uta Arad
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.1% | 46.3% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.2% | 26.1% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.64 | 24.7% | 27.6% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Uta Arad
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Uta Arad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80