Probiy Horodenkavs
SK Poltava
COMPLETEDUkraine · Persha Liga · 10/10/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SK Poltava · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Probiy Horodenka 0-2 SK Poltava, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Probiy Horodenka 3-2 SK Poltava
Original prediction
SK Poltava
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.66 | 19.4% | 17.6% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.1% | 23.9% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 56.5% | 58.5% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Projected Score
Probiy Horodenka 0–2 SK Poltava
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
SK Poltava
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
SK Poltava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20