Probiy Horodenkavs
Lokomotiv Kyiv
COMPLETEDUkraine · Persha Liga · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Probiy Horodenka 0-0 Lokomotiv Kyiv, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Probiy Horodenka 0-2 Lokomotiv Kyiv
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 11:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.1% | 34.0% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.0% | 30.1% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 29.8% | 35.9% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Projected Score
Probiy Horodenka 0–0 Lokomotiv Kyiv
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.1%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Probiy HorodenkaLLDLL
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv KyivWWLLL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Probiy HorodenkaLokomotiv Kyiv
0.0Attack13.3
16.7Defence73.3
0.0Form33.3
13.2Power43.0
0.86xG1.05