Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wolves · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
14%
MediumconfidencePreston are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Wolves are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and wolves hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Championship, favouring Wolves with 14.3% confidence, a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wolves
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
14.3%
Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PrestonDLWLL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
WolvesWDDLD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PrestonWolves
40.6Attack50.0
51.4Defence50.0
45.7Form50.0
47.6Power50.0
1.20xG1.25