Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
West Brom · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Preston 0-2 West Brom, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Preston 1-1 West Brom
Original prediction
West Brom
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.58 | 26.2% | 20.7% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 27.0% | 24.8% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 46.8% | 54.5% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Projected Score
Preston 0–2 West Brom
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
West Brom
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
West Brom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PrestonLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
West BromWWLLD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PrestonWest Brom
27.3Attack45.5
27.3Defence63.6
12.1Form60.6
25.9Power59.2
0.57xG2.01