Potenzavs
SS Monopoli
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie C · 9/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Potenza · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Potenza 1-1 SS Monopoli
Original prediction
Potenza
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 38.9% | 38.7% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 30.9% | 29.0% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.2% | 32.3% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.90 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Potenza
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Potenza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00