Portsmouthvs
Blackburn
COMPLETEDEngland · Championship · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portsmouth · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portsmouth 2-2 Blackburn
Original prediction
Portsmouth
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 43.9% | 39.8% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 28.1% | 27.1% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 28.0% | 33.0% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Portsmouth
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Portsmouth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40