Portland Timbersvs
Austin
SCHEDULEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/30/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Timbers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Portland Timbers are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Austin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Portland Timbers holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Timbers
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
9.1%
Portland Timbers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00