Pogradecivs
Sopoti Librazhd
COMPLETEDAlbania · 1st Division · 10/17/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pogradeci · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pogradeci 2-2 Sopoti Librazhd
Original prediction
Pogradeci
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 79.4% | 48.6% | -30.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.05 | 14.8% | 25.1% | 10.3 pts |
| Away | 15.42 | 5.8% | 26.3% | 20.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-30.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Pogradeci
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Pogradeci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00