Besëlidhja Lezhëvs
Sopoti Librazhd
COMPLETEDAlbania · 1st Division · 10/28/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Besëlidhja Lezhë · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Besëlidhja Lezhë 5-2 Sopoti Librazhd
Original prediction
Besëlidhja Lezhë
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.6% | 44.1% | -17.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.8% | 27.1% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 5.78 | 15.6% | 28.7% | 13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Besëlidhja Lezhë
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Besëlidhja Lezhë has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60