Pobedavs
Sevastopol
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pobeda 1-3 Sevastopol
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.4%
Model confidence
13.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PobedaWWDWL
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SevastopolWWLWW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PobedaSevastopol
64.7Attack61.1
56.9Defence74.1
52.9Form77.8
56.8Power72.6
1.02xG1.52