Pobedavs
Rubin Yalta
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 10/10/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pobeda · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pobeda 2-1 Rubin Yalta
Original prediction
Pobeda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.5% | 41.5% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.7% | 27.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.8% | 31.1% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Pobeda
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Pobeda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20