Pobedavs
Nart Cherkessk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pobeda · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pobeda 2-1 Nart Cherkessk
Original prediction
Pobeda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.1% | 42.3% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 22.7% | 26.0% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 24.2% | 31.6% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Pobeda
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Pobeda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00