Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pobeda · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pobeda 3-0 Lugansk
Original prediction
Pobeda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Pobeda
Probability
70.8%
Model confidence
70.8%
Pobeda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PobedaLLWWD
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LuganskDDWLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PobedaLugansk
64.7Attack35.1
56.9Defence49.1
52.9Form35.1
56.8Power42.0
2.21xG0.79