Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pobeda · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
13%
MediumconfidencePobeda are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lugansk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and pobeda hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (56.8 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely result in the Second League - Group 1, favouring Pobeda with 13.0% confidence, a 48% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pobeda
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
13.0%
Pobeda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PobedaLWWDW
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LuganskDWLWL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PobedaLugansk
64.7Attack33.3
56.9Defence50.0
52.9Form35.2
56.8Power41.8
2.17xG0.75