Plaza Coloniavs
Juventud
COMPLETEDUruguay · Copa Uruguay · 10/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Plaza Colonia 0-1 Juventud
Original prediction
Plaza Colonia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.06 | 29.5% | 36.7% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 30.9% | 29.1% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 39.6% | 34.2% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Plaza Colonia
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40