Pisavs
Virtus Entella
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie B · 9/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pisa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pisa 1-4 Virtus Entella
Original prediction
Pisa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 53.0% | 50.8% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 28.0% | 26.8% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.93 | 18.9% | 22.4% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Pisa
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Pisa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PisaWWLDW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Virtus EntellaDLLDL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PisaVirtus Entella
44.7Attack31.6
52.6Defence55.3
40.4Form36.8
48.2Power43.5
1.30xG0.81