Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pisa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pisa 0-1 Padova
Original prediction
Pisa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Pisa
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Pisa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PisaDWLDW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
PadovaLDWLL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PisaPadova
44.7Attack34.2
52.6Defence57.0
40.4Form40.4
48.2Power46.6
1.24xG0.88