Pirin Blagoevgradvs
Fratria
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fratria · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-2 Fratria, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-2 Fratria
Original prediction
Fratria
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 15.17 | 5.9% | 7.2% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.56 | 16.2% | 17.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.15 | 77.9% | 75.5% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Projected Score
Pirin Blagoevgrad 0–2 Fratria
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Fratria
Probability
75.5%
Model confidence
75.5%
Fratria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Pirin BlagoevgradLLLLL
GF 0 · GA 18 · avg 0.00/3.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 4/5
FratriaDDDWD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Pirin BlagoevgradFratria
11.1Attack44.4
0.0Defence74.1
0.0Form59.3
9.4Power61.4
0.41xG1.99