PiratasvsVenados FC

Piratas are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Venados FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Piratas hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Piratas holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.