PiratasvsTepatitlán

Piratas are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Piratas hold a 45.9-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Piratas holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.