Piratasvs
Correcaminos Uat
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Piratas are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 74.7 against 75.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga de Expansión MX, favouring a draw with 12.5% confidence, a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
26.8%
Model confidence
12.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 1.33/0.00
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20