Philadelphia Unionvs
New England Revolution
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Philadelphia Union · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Philadelphia Union 1-2 New England Revolution
Original prediction
Philadelphia Union
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 63.9% | 45.2% | -18.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.82 | 19.5% | 25.9% | 6.4 pts |
| Away | 5.64 | 16.6% | 28.9% | 12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Philadelphia Union
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Philadelphia Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00