Philadelphia Unionvs
Charlotte
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/17/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Philadelphia Union · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Philadelphia Union 2-2 Charlotte
Original prediction
Philadelphia Union
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 64.1% | 53.0% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.92 | 19.0% | 19.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 5.52 | 16.9% | 27.8% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Philadelphia Union
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Philadelphia Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00