Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterhead · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Peterhead are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Dundee II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundee II hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 74.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Challenge Cup, while Peterhead holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Peterhead
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
10.0%
Peterhead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20