Peterheadvs
Clachnacuddin
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterhead · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Peterhead 2-1 Clachnacuddin
Original prediction
Peterhead
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 66.6% | 50.6% | -16.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.85 | 18.7% | 23.5% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 6.17 | 14.7% | 25.9% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Peterhead
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Peterhead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40