Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Penarol · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Penarol 1-0 Wanderers, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Penarol 5-1 Wanderers
Original prediction
Penarol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 08:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Projected Score
Penarol 1–0 Wanderers
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Penarol
Probability
61.4%
Model confidence
15.6%
Penarol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PenarolWWDWL
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
WanderersWWWDW
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PenarolWanderers
58.0Attack42.0
71.0Defence56.5
66.7Form50.7
65.9Power51.2
1.69xG0.64