Partickvs
Stenhousemuir
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Partick 0-0 Stenhousemuir, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Partick 3-0 Stenhousemuir
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 64.1% | 39.6% | -24.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.0% | 32.5% | 10.4 pts |
| Away | 6.55 | 13.9% | 27.9% | 14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Projected Score
Partick 0–0 Stenhousemuir
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.5%
Model confidence
39.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PartickDWWWD
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
StenhousemuirDLWWW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
PartickStenhousemuir
36.4Attack43.3
87.9Defence83.3
66.7Form76.7
65.6Power70.0
0.57xG0.60