Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Partick · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Partick 0-0 Arbroath, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Partick 3-0 Arbroath
Original prediction
Partick
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 66.8% | 49.3% | -17.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.45 | 20.5% | 30.7% | 10.2 pts |
| Away | 7.17 | 12.7% | 20.0% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.4 pts
Projected Score
Partick 0–0 Arbroath
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Partick
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Partick has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PartickDLWDD
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
ArbroathWLLDW
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PartickArbroath
23.8Attack25.0
90.5Defence58.3
57.1Form45.8
59.6Power45.9
0.87xG0.47