Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Napoli W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 05:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Napoli W
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Napoli W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Parma WLLDLL
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Napoli WWLLWL
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Parma WNapoli W
11.1Attack66.7
44.4Defence33.3
11.1Form33.3
25.8Power44.0
1.45xG1.65