Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torino · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Parma 0-3 Torino
Original prediction
Torino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.17 | 30.0% | 31.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 31.0% | 28.4% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 39.0% | 40.3% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Torino
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Torino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ParmaLWLDL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TorinoWDLWL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ParmaTorino
22.2Attack38.9
44.4Defence50.0
22.2Form38.9
33.0Power45.6
1.04xG1.25