Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lazio · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Lazio
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Lazio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SassuoloLWDDW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
LazioWDWWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SassuoloLazio
60.0Attack53.3
40.0Defence80.0
46.7Form86.7
51.9Power76.7
1.15xG1.59